Poll Says Ehaz within Striking Distance of Fitz
A poll conducted after the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v Wade suggests Republican Congressman Brian Fitzpatrick(PA 1) has a fight on his hands in the form of Democratic challenger Ashley Ehaz.
According to the poll conducted by left leaning Global Strategy Group, when voters learn about Fitzpatrick’s anti-abortion position, there is a dramatic shift toward Ehasz. Fitzpatrick’s support among the Democrats who bolster his initial lead evaporates and women move solidly into Ehasz’s column.
Ehaz, in recent weeks has been attending local community events in the Lower Bucks area to increase name recognition meeting with organizations to discuss issues pertinent to the Congressional District.
“This just echoes the conversations I have had with people at rallies and knocking doors since Friday’s announcement, which is that when voters learn their Congressman had the opportunity to protect their right to an abortion and he refused to, they feel betrayed,” said Ehasz. “Fitzpatrick could have voted to codify Roe v. Wade, but instead he washed his hands of it, and sided with the most extreme members of his party. People feel abandoned, and rightly so.”
After the Supreme Court opinion was made public, Fitzpatrick released a statement calling for empathy and understanding
” I urge all state legislatures to always start from a place of empathy and compassion. Any legislative consideration must start with the process of seeing the world through other people’s eyes, and walking the world in other people’s shoes,” part of the Representatives comments read.
According to the poll, Fitzpatrick among independents planning to vote in the 2022 midterms is led by only two points, well within the margin of error of +/-3.9% for the overall data collected.
Fitzpatrick was elected representative in 2016 of the newly formed first congressional district after his brother, Mike announced his retirement.
Defeating the “Fitzpatrick brand” has been unsuccessful in recent years. The congressmen, like his brother before him, enjoys support from registered democratic voters, Despite political pundits targeting this seat every election cycle, as a possible pickup for democrats, the closest anyone has come to beating the former FBI agent, was Scott Wallace, in 2016, losing by a little more than 8000 votes.
Bucks County covers a majority of the district, went for Hilary Clinton and Joe Biden in the most recent presidential elections by small margins. Ehaz is hoping to capitalize on those numbers plus the support of “soccer moms” to win the seat back for democrats for the first time since 2007.
You can view the full poll and its metrics by clicking here.